Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 3.511368 4.148722 4.837627 5.633939 6.525294 7.488601 8.604603
2026-01-18 2.639890 3.490452 4.484966 5.718655 7.192389 8.880943 10.945651
2026-01-25 1.927365 2.854250 4.024695 5.575684 7.539587 9.906066 12.932960
2026-02-01 1.428360 2.370663 3.653465 5.461431 7.873732 10.910650 14.945629
2026-02-08 1.066155 1.986555 3.335870 5.351547 8.172322 11.863714 16.931845
2026-02-15 0.812123 1.698921 3.095890 5.299072 8.517687 12.875430 19.029586
2026-02-22 0.681423 1.576616 3.075253 5.545714 9.279968 14.470993 21.961233
2026-03-01 0.536592 1.390814 2.919392 5.560077 9.694551 15.597377 24.299076
2026-03-08 0.380606 1.135690 2.599221 5.267961 9.614549 16.004839 25.645803
2026-03-15 0.274144 0.945943 2.355494 5.061723 9.633435 16.535772 27.166709
2026-03-22 0.237883 0.907391 2.388476 5.328269 10.410443 18.211183 30.379138
2026-03-29 0.217878 0.904144 2.489580 5.721451 11.411015 20.257069 34.191385
2026-04-05 0.191680 0.877793 2.543224 6.040540 12.321591 22.224813 37.990225
2026-04-12 0.152451 0.797111 2.466076 6.105464 12.806443 23.555346 40.889470
2026-04-19 0.109194 0.679811 2.282210 5.940944 12.880851 24.241044 42.838681
2026-04-26 0.077979 0.584264 2.127553 5.812650 13.003008 24.998805 44.912644
2026-05-03 0.054833 0.502402 1.986850 5.692494 13.124117 25.749693 46.987541
2026-05-10 0.039098 0.439959 1.882186 5.634556 13.350599 26.675354 49.354607
2026-05-17 0.033345 0.427611 1.917830 5.890981 14.180694 28.631310 53.392700
2026-05-24 0.024347 0.384396 1.850938 5.904912 14.544531 29.811047 56.224232
2026-05-31 0.013780 0.308822 1.658783 5.598512 14.260239 29.870070 57.254341
2026-06-07 0.007739 0.253563 1.513509 5.382174 14.133208 30.185970 58.697560
2026-06-14 0.006595 0.251725 1.562277 5.661034 15.027059 32.315752 63.155932